Posts Tagged ‘Electoral Projections’

pawlenty

Sunday, June 22nd, 2008

McCain VP: Pawlenty Guarantees MN, WI?
Yesterday, James Pethokoukis of US News and World Report reported that Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty is high in the running for John McCain's VP selection. The claim from the source for the story, "a high-ranking McCain campaign …
fivethirtyeight.com: Electoral Projections… - http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Why Doesn't Pawlenty Guarantee Minnesota?
Pawlenty certainly helps McCain in his home state. Pitted against Democratic VP choices that most Minnesotans don't know much about yet, he adds 10-13 points to McCain's numbers, pushing him above Obama. (Of course, as people learn …
Cogitamus - http://www.cogitamusblog.com/

McCain: Pawlenty has 'big place' in GOP future6 hours ago
MINNEAPOLIS - Republican John McCain made no secret of his regard for Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty during a visit to the state on Thursday, saying Pawlenty has "a very big place in the future of the Republican Party."
News/state from bismarcktribune.com - http://bismarcktribune.com/

Pawlenty's "Very Big Place"
And the more we read, the more we watch and monitor, the more clear it becomes just how instrumental Governor Pawlenty will be in in this future, and just how clearly he fits as the brand of the 21st Century Republican Party. …
Party of Pawlenty - http://partyofpawlenty.blogspot.com/

re: Pawlenty Rising
Pawlenty recently vetoed a bill that was designed to regulate contracts between surrogate mothers and would-be parents. He bowed to the extreme right's fear that this would allow gays to have children. Pawlenty is not a moderate except …
The Stump - All Comments - http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_stump/default.aspx

Last Best Hope for Earth: Pawlenty, take II12 hours ago
As promised in my previous post, here is further on Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty's bonafides. Timothy Pawlenty is the archtype of the Reagan democrat with which the.
VOT3R - Republican Party NEWS - http://www.vot3r.com/

Pawlenty and Blitzer together again
Tim Pawlenty is slated to be on CNN's Late Edition with Wolf Blitzer Sunday morning. Recall that he and Blitzer spent some time together Tuesday evening as well. I wonder if Blitzer will ask any VP questions. Hmm. …
The Political Animal - http://blogs.twincities.com/politics/

Governor Pawlenty and the Renewable Energy Standard: The Real Story
Republican lobbyist Sarah Janezcek tells the story of how Governor Pawlenty “brought everybody together in a room to work out that bill and get it done.” It’sa great story; unfortunately it’s just not true. Since I was in the middle of …
mnblue - - http://www.mnblue.com

Gov. Pawlenty Continues To Dismiss VP Job15 hours ago
Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty says as far as he knows he's not being.
KEYC.tv -> "News" - http://keyc.tv

Pawlenty: No VP discussions with McCain campaign
Tim Pawlenty will be in the spotlight Thursday evening when John McCain makes two campaign stops in Minneapolis and St. Paul, but Pawlenty — often floated as a possible running mate for McCain — continues to deny that he is being …
CNN Political Ticker - http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com

barack obama biography

Wednesday, June 4th, 2008

Barack Obama Biography (1961-)
Barack Hussein Obama was born Aug. 4, 1961, in Honolulu, Hawaii. His father, Barack Obama, Sr., was born of Luo ethnicity in Nyanza Province, Kenya. He grew up herding goats with his own father, who was a domestic servant to the British …
biography people - http://mizzloco.com

Obama Search Results
When the search results came back, at the top of the page the ever helpful Yahoo listed some other popular search words I might try… Also try: barack obama biography, barack obama antichrist, More… Yeah, the second option. …
getting flak - http://gettingflak.blogspot.com/

Biography of Barack Obama [VIDEO]2 Jun 2008
Forum: *Grown Folks Lounge* Posted By: mighti Post Time: 06-02-2008 at 11:42 AM.
dancehallreggae.com Forums - http://www.dancehallreggae.com/forum

Michelle Obama is Barack Obama Wife
Meet Michelle Obama, wife of Presidential candidate Barack Obama. Read her biography and see photos and a video of her below. michelle obama 20 Michelle Obama. Michelle Obama has been viewed as an asset and a liability to her husband’s …
Right Pundits - http://www.rightpundits.com

OBAMANIA Be Careful What You Wish for You may get More than You …
http://thejewinyellow.blogspot.com/2008/05/barack-hussein-obama-cornered-like-rat.html We don't need to be saved by a lifelong con artist with a manufactured biography who repackages himself to appeal to everyone while concealing his …
The Jew in Yellow - http://thejewinyellow.blogspot.com/

Two Mediocrities?
Barack Obama and John McCain each have classic and proud American biographies. Obama is probably the best political athlete since Bill Clinton; John McCain has a brand so strong that even Democrats feel obligated to compliment him. …
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections… - http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Who is Barack Obama? Part 1
First let’s take a look at Obama’s official congressional bio:. OBAMA, Barack, a Senator from Illinois; born in Honolulu, Hawaii, August 4, 1961; obtained early education in Jakarta, Indonesia, and Hawaii; continued education at …
The Confluence - http://riverdaughter.wordpress.com

Our Obama challenge for West Virginia
Gov. Joe Manchin (D) said the other day that people in West Virginia need to become more familiar with Barack Obama before they'll feel comfortable voting for him. That sounds fair enough. Obama's the best at doing that, but who knows …
West Virginia Blue - Front Page - http://www.WVaBlue.com

More on Obama`s Communist Friends
For months the group’s president, Cliff Kincaid, has been writing about the close relationship the teenage Obama had in the 1970s with an elderly black man Obama refers to in his 1995 biography `Dreams From My Father` only as “a poet …
Timothy Birdnow - http://www.timothybirdnow.com/

Colorado Statesman featured "[s]pecial [s]ection" of puff pieces …15 hours ago
Additionally, the special section's profile of Schaffer — "Bob Schaffer: Common sense leadership for Colorado" — was identical to Schaffer's biography on his Senate campaign website. The Statesman did not identify the profile as an …
Colorado Media Matters - http://colorado.mediamatters.org/

fair reflection

Saturday, May 31st, 2008

"A fair reflection of a flawed primary"
The Clinton campaign appeared to have lost the Ickes-Levin exchange, and there's a pretty good reason why. You can't argue for being a stickler for the rules, as Ickes claimed to be on the disposition of the Michigan uncommitted …
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections… - http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

MI Presents Its Challenge to the RBC
Mark just got asked whether he's relying on the rule that requires that the delegation be based on a "fair reflection" of the voters partiicpating in the presidential selection. He said no. He said there is no primary or caucus to …
MichiganLiberal - http://www.michiganliberal.com

What’s Fair?
… on CNN’s live coverage of the DNC delegation dispute proceedings just in time to hear one of Michigan’s senators say this to one of Hillary Clinton’s senior advisors: “You’re calling for a ‘fair reflection’ of a flawed primary. …
Patrick’s Place - http://www.patrickkphillips.com/

Did MI’s April 19 District Conventions Just Become a Clusterf^#k Too?
On the other hand, it can be argued that the primary as a whole could not possibly have served as a “fair reflection” of presidential preference because most of the candidates then running for the nomination were not on the ballot. …
Emptywheel - http://emptywheel.firedoglake.com

What's Fair is Fair … but what's Fair?
First, there’s rule 13, "Fair Reflection of Presidential Preferences." The rule states: "Delegates shall be allocated in a fashion that fairly reflects the expressed presidential preference or uncommitted status of the primary voters or …
Going to Pieces - http://goingtopieces.blogspot.com/

Ickes to Levin: Hell, just take 'em all while you're at it14 minutes ago
Levin: "We only want a fair reflection of a flawed primary, and what we're trying to do is keep our party together so we can win a critical state in November." Outside the Marriott, storm clouds have emerged. …
TRAIL BLAZERS - http://trailblazersblog.dallasnews.com/

RBC Saturday: Florida presentations
That admission rather dramatically undercuts the argument that the result of the 1.7 million was a fair reflection of the way an actual election might have come out, and amounts to a concession that "counting the votes" of 1.7 million …
Spin Cycle - http://weblogs.newsday.com/news/local/longisland/politics/blog/

Watch the Democratic Rules and Bylaws Committee Online
… or were not able to vote for the candidate of their choice, because they were told that their votes would not count. “This was not a normal primary election, and did not produce a fair reflection” of Democratic voters’ interests. …
Irregular Times: News Unfit for Print - http://irregulartimes.com/

Watching this Rules and Bylaws Committee Meeting…
The contradictory nature of the Clinton argument is mind-boggoling sometimes. 4) Another another. Great retort by Senator Levin to Ickes when he said it would never be a fair reflection to seat delegates from a flawed primary. Amen.
Untitled - http://swarheit.blogspot.com/

recount

Sunday, May 25th, 2008

Citizen, Liberty, and Buzz Watch HBO's Recount!
HBO's movie Recount is on tonight at 9 pm! Is it watchable? Heck yes! Citizen, Liberty and I watched it at Citizen's house — she concocted a drink called a "Hanging Chad" which was sweet, dessert-y and left a way better aftertaste than …
BuzzSugar — Entertainment hourly. - http://buzzsugar.com/

'Recount' shows promise but falls short
Recount But among political junkies—and they would be the most likely people to spend part of a holiday weekend revisiting the 2000 Bush-Gore showdown in Florida—the intermittently compelling "Recount" should provide plenty of grist for …
The Watcher - http://featuresblogs.chicagotribune.com/entertainment_tv/

What's On Tonight: 60 Minutes, Recount, This American Life
At 9, HBO has the new movie Recount. There's a new episode of The Tudors on Showtime at 9, then a new This American Life. At midnight, Cartoon Network has a new Metalocalypse, followed by new episodes of Squidbillies and Assy McGee. …
TV Squad - http://www.tvsquad.com

The odds of a recount
The 2000 Florida recount, which has generated renewed interest in light of the HBO dramatization to debut tonight, seemed at the time like a once-in-a-lifetime fluke of probability, the electoral equivalent of being struck by lightning. …
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections… - http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Charlie Rose digs into the Film "Recount"22 hours ago
A discussion about the HBO film Recount with Kevin Spacey, Jeffrey Toobin, Senior Legal Analyst at CNN and David Boies. Recount is a chronicle of five weeks between the Nov. 7, 2000, presidential election between George W. …
Digg / Political News - http://digg.com/politics

HBO "Recount" the Reviews are In
Again, due to my far-flung status, I will have to wait to see HBO's "Recount" but I am a big Spacey fan and look forward to hearing what people say about this TV film detailing the events of the 2000 election, recount and controversy in …
Group News Blog - http://www.groupnewsblog.net/

Recount
I’m still watching “Recount” on HBO, and so far the portrayal of the Florida recount jives with what I remember. How’s about you? Spot anything that contradicts history?
The Mahablog - http://www.mahablog.com

HBO's Recount.
"With the new movie Recount, HBO is either remarkably savvy or the beneficiary of happy coincidence…. Timeliness, though, does not equal drama or comedy, and Recount is a surprisingly enervated and enervating piece of work." …
greencine Daily - http://daily.greencine.com/

This Moment in History: Recount
By Todd VanDerWerff Recount, debuting tonight on HBO at 9 pm EDT, is the sort of movie that might have been mounted by a studio with hopes of Oscar success twenty years ago. Dole out juicy roles to a mostly all-star cast, …
The House Next Door - http://mattzollerseitz.blogspot.com/

Recount: Great, good, so-so or terrible?
Recount. Brilliant. Gripping. Powerful. That's what the pros say. But what do you think about Recount? (Also, check out the St. Petersburg Times' interview with Denis Leary)
The Buzz: Florida Politics | tampabay.com… - http://blogs.tampabay.com/buzz/

oregon population

Tuesday, May 20th, 2008

Oregon Projection: Obama by 13
But Clinton has not fundraised at all well in OR-2, and it has a high veteran population, which is one of Obama's hidden bases of support. The model thinks that, had the Oregon primary been held on Super Tuesday, this district would …
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections… - http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Who will win the Kentucky and Oregon Democratic Primaries?
In those 18 states where the population ranges from 4%-16%, Obama won 8, while Clinton won 11.” The African-American population for Kentucky? 7.3% For Oregon? 1.6%. As one Republican politico told us, these aren’t primaries anymore; …
Gurumurthy Kalyanaram: A Reported Blog - http://gurumurthykalyanaram.wordpress.com

Scanning the Obama video for familiar faces…
About 75000 people showed up to hear Barack Obama in Portland, Oregon (population 562690) this weekend. Just as impressively, 3200 people showed up in Republican-leaning Pendleton (population 17310). I grew up about 30 miles northwest …
biblebeltblogger - http://biblebeltblogger.com

Oregon & Kentucky Preview
The population of Oregon, according to census estimates is roughly 3.7 million, 90 percent of who are white and 1.9 percent of who are black. Eighteen percent of all jobs are manufacturing, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, …
THE.personal.IS.political - http://www.thepersonalispolitical.com/

Watch for the Race Chasm Today
With a population that's 7.5 percent black, Kentucky fits right into the Race Chasm, and not surprisingly, Hillary Clinton is favored to win. In Oregon, the population is just 1.9 percent black - outside the Race Chasm - and Barack …
Open Left - Front Page - http://www.openleft.com

A Shift in Voters, but Oregon Still Embraces the Unconventional
Further reflective of Oregon's unpredictability is race. Only about 2 percent of the Oregon population is black, yet while race has become an issue elsewhere many people here view it as another chance for Oregon to demonstrate how far …
Newsupdate - http://hillaryclintonclub.com/newsupdate.php

Will it be Clinton or Obama in Kentucky and Oregon primaries?
Who will the Kentucky and Oregon Democratic primaries — Clinton or Obama? Look no further than the percentage of African-American population and voters. You don’t need polls, pundits and forecasters. Elsewhere, I have hypothesized (with …
Gurumurthy Kalyanaram on US and Global… - http://kalyanaramgurumurthy.wordpress.com

The political climate is roasting McCain
Oregon's population has a reputation for taking pride in trying to hammer out a balance between economic, industrial, social and environmental needs. If you're going to say you stand for something, you'd best go to the place that …
Straight Out of Big Rock - http://straightoutofbigrock.blogspot.com/

Comment on OREGON!!! WE ARE ABOUT TO HEAR THE RESULTS!! by Linda FL
May 20th, 2008 at 11:24 pm OVER HALF THE POPULATION OF OREGON IS COLLEGE EDUCATED. YOU IDIOTS ARE FOOLS. MEET YOUR NEW PRESIDENT OBAMA. ————————————- Hope your woman has her berkka ready….The muslims are coming, praise Allah you fool !!!!!
Comments for GretaWire - http://gretawire.foxnews.com

pennsylvania exit polls

Tuesday, April 22nd, 2008

What to Look For in the PA Exit Polls
Mark Blumenthal has a super-helpful post sizing up the differences in demographic composition among the various Pennsylvania polls, along with this useful chart summarizing all the crosstabs. The upshot (which I'm not sure Mark would …
The Stump - http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_stump/default.aspx

Don't trust the unweighted exit polls!
… in a post that just got Instalanched — as we political junkies giddily await the first hints of what's happening in Pennsylvania today (finally, another primary!! election results tonight!! exit polls!!! colorful maps!!! whee! …
Irish Trojan in Tennessee - http://blog.brendanloy.com/

Pennsylvania and Polling
(1) Leaked exit polls, which have been way off this cycle, and been slanted an average of 7 points in Obama's direction. A substantial Clinton lead in the exit polls might be taken modestly more seriously than, say, something that …
Politics and Opinion from Champaign-Urbana - http://www.illinipundit.com

Latest polls from Pennsylvania; McCain 15 million vs. Obama 40 …
5, exit polls showed that she led by 9 percentage points among whites, 6 points among those earning less than $50000, 9 points among those without a college degree and 20 points among those over 65. In Ohio, the site of her comfortable …
Darryl Wolk Blog - http://darrylwolkpolitics.blogspot.com/

Expectations and Realities
It's one thing to say ahead of time that "Clinton must win by double-digits for anything to matter" — and another to maintain that line in the face of a victory speech, and after hours of parsing the exit poll returns, which always …
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections… - http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Survey USA vs. PPP PA Poll Internals
I've broken everything down for each of the polls for comparison, and then threw in the Ohio exit polls since Ohio is probably the closest thing we have to an analog of Pennsylvania. Ohio's African-American population is 10.6% versus …
Daily Kos - http://www.dailykos.com/section/Diary

Pennsylvania Primary: Obama takes big lead in early voting
Already, with polling not due to start for another 13 hours, its clear from my exit polls, that Senator Obama has gone into a commanding early lead in the pre-poll ballot-box stuffing. This is great news for the junior Senator from …
Obama WTF? - http://obamawtf.blogspot.com/

Breaking: Early Pennsylvania Exits
A correspondent from Pennsylvania writes in with early exit numbers:. So according to my informal exit poll, Obama is winning with 100% of the vote so far (assuming the guy in front of me in the Obama t-shirt also voted for him).
Untitled - http://gerrycanavan.blogspot.com/

Today on the presidential campaign trail
Pennsylvania has nearly 700000 college students on more than 150 campuses; exit polls indicate that Barack Obama has an advantage with this group. ___. Compiled by Ann Sanner. …
The Liberty Lounge Political Forums - http://www.libertylounge.net/forums

am i registered to vote

Tuesday, April 22nd, 2008

Primary Day In PA
Well as I am not registered as a Democrat I can’t vote in this Primary. But apparently the zealots outside the polling places can still harass me with their ludicrous ideals. Its very funny actually, because these people seem to think …
Untitled - http://chasmo.wordpress.com

It's the turnout, stupid! [UPDATED]
In its latest survey, SurveyUSA reported that, of the 1401 registered adults that it contacted, 638 (45.5%) were likely to vote in the Democratic primary. For comparison's sake, 50.4% of Pennsylvanians who are registered to vote are …
fivethirtyeight.com: Electoral Projections… - http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Voting with one small insignificant voice
Hubby asks why I am even gonna go. I am a registered Republican and as you know my vote and my voice have no say in this matter what so ever. But, because there are men and women who have fought for me to have the freedom and the right …
The Red Queen Affair - http://redqueenaffair.blogspot.com/

Undecided Voter Here in NC
I am registered as an unaffiliated voter in a state that allows me open primaries. While I do know which side I will be casting my ballot for, the specifics are still fuzzy. I am excited that my vote really will count and I am elated to …
Musings of the Muddled - http://musingsofthemuddled.blogspot.com/

Early morning mindlessness…
Are you registered to vote? Of course! Do I know WHO I'm voting for yet? Sigh. No. 10.Do you have cable? Yup. And Patrick and I get to be a Nielsen family this week - YAY!!! I have always wanted to be able to say, "That was me! …
Musings-N-Stuff - http://musingsnstuff.blogspot.com/

ACC Students Encourage Voting
A recent CPPPS report on voter turnout in Austin city elections revealed that for the past 35 years less than a quarter of the of the Austin population that is registered to vote actually do vote in city elections. …
ACC Newsroom - http://www.austincc.edu/newsroom

Primary Day
… though they never scared off the Morman missionaries… As for me … being the independent minded guy I am (and registered Libertarian to boot) I don't get to vote in either primary, so I'll just sit back and watch the spectacle.
The Atomic Age - http://theatomicage.blogspot.com/

Happy Primary Day!
Today is the highly-anticipated Pennsylvania primary. Across the state, polls opened at 7 am and will remain open until 8 pm. If you’re registered to vote in Pennsylvania, make sure to get out to your polling place today! …
Election 2008 - http://lamp.dailypennsylvanian.com/election2008

Pennsylvania College Students and the Democratic Primary
"I know the race has been a tight one between Hillary and Obama and while I've been following them closely, I'm a registered Republican and therefore, can't vote for either. I agree with McCain's plan for competitive health care over …
MOMocrats - http://momocrats.typepad.com/momocrats/

Talk to your family, make sure they are registered to vote- AM I …
I just called my cousin and found out she has not registered to vote and her mother may not be registered to vote. Not everyone is on a college campus. Go to fast food restaurants, check blue collar jobs and call your relatives. …
Member Posts - http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/members_rss